Yesterday, I had the pleasure of being a return guest on live radio at Dr. Dave Janda’s Operation Freedom. Here is the interview on YouTube with notes, links, and charts to follow along the way. To view a larger version of any chart, right-click on it and choose your “view image” option.
- Introduction by Dr. Janda
- Referenced: Mar.1, 2020 interview w/Dr. Janda https://traderstef.com/2020/03/02/traderstef-on-operation-freedom-live-w-dr-dave-janda-on-waam-1600am-talk-radio-mar-1-2020
- Herald Wave (aka first wave) characteristics vs. a second wave
– A Harvester of Sorrow / First Wave of the SARS 2.0 Novel Coronavirus – Twitter Thread https://twitter.com/TraderStef/status/1254734165909610496
– A Review of the 1918 Herald Pandemic Wave: Importance for Contemporary Pandemic Response Strategies https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29530388/ – May 2018
– SARS case-fatality rates (CFR) – CMA/JMAC https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC180638 – Aug. 2003
– Excessive Deaths from all causes, and flu-pneumonia-SARSCoV2 specific, all well above historical mean
a) https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
b) https://twitter.com/CDCgov/status/1270434251427786753
- Gene-sequences show strain mutation in Italy (via China outbreak) was responsible for initial U.S. east coast outbreak and has spread across the U.S. and has seeded the world as the dominant strain-lineages
– Apr. 7 – Twitter thread with updates on virology of the gene-sequence history https://twitter.com/TraderStef/status/1247557991269912576
– JUNE 15 UPDATE: Reuters article published on Jun. 15 specifically referred to Italy / New York mutation virulence https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-infectivity-idUSKBN23M1M9
- Fed and Margin Calls
– Mar. 3 – Fed cuts interest rates by half percentage point in rare inter-meeting move https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-cuts-interest-rate-by-half-percentage-point-in-rare-inter-meeting-move-2020-03-03
– Mar. 11 – World Health Organization declares the coronavirus outbreak a global pandemic https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32191675/
– Mar. 15 – Bill de Blasio considers NYC lockdown as coronavirus cases jump https://nypost.com/2020/03/15/bill-de-blasio-considers-nyc-lockdown-as-coronavirus-cases-jump/
– Mar. 20 – A Pandemic First Wave Burns the Fed and Global Economy as Gold Wins https://traderstef.com/2020/03/20/a-pandemic-first-wave-burns-the-fed-and-global-economy-as-gold-wins
– Mar. 20 – Margin Calls Hit Wall Street Like ‘30 LTCMs Out There’ at Once https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-20/margin-calls-hit-wall-street-like-30-ltcms-out-there-at-once
– Referenced: Gold Spot weekly chart 2007 – 2010 shows how financial market margin calls impacted the gold spot price midway through the Great Financial Crisis, and still outperformed the stock market after all was said and done.
– May 28 – NY Fed President Williams says U.S. not ‘anywhere near’ its limits to run up debt https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/28/ny-fed-president-williams-says-us-is-not-anywhere-near-its-limits-to-run-up-debt.html
– Jun. 10 – Fed to keep providing aid and sees no rate hike through 2022 https://www.pressherald.com/2020/06/10/fed-to-keep-buying-bonds-and-sees-no-rate-hike-through-2022/
– Jun. 10 – The Fed said it doesn’t expect to lift its benchmark interest rate until 2023 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-sees-rates-near-zero-through-2022-says-asset-purchases-will-continue-2020-06-10
– Jun. 10 – Fed Balance Sheet https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL
– Fed Funds Rate (Interest Rate) as of Jun. 1 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
- Gold Spot technical analysis – monthly, weekly, daily charts sent to Dr. Janda just prior to the radio show…
– Referenced: Dec 1, 2019 interview w/Dr. Janda https://traderstef.com/2019/12/02/traderstef-on-operation-freedom-live-w-dr-dave-janda-on-waam-1600am-talk-radio-dec-1-2019
– For reference: “Gold Chart Exclusive for Precious Hour Subscribers / Technical Analysis” – May 31 https://traderstef.com/2020/05/31/gold-chart-exclusive-for-precious-hour-subscribers-technical-analysis
Jun. 14 charts…
- Silver Spot monthly, weekly, daily charts as of Jun. 12 close…
– Referenced: “A Deep Impact is Blunting Silver’s Upside Potential” – Feb. 27 https://traderstef.com/2020/03/02/a-deep-impact-is-blunting-silvers-upside-potential-technical-analysis
- Automated Trading / High Frequency Trading education…
a) Referenced: IEX Exchange https://iextrading.com
b) Flash Crash 2010 | VPRO documentary | 2011
c) The Wall Street Code | VPRO documentary | 2013
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Website: https://traderstef.com
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